Updated 3 min ago

US-Israel Strike on Iran · Day 179

US announces new sanctions·Iran warns of harsh response·US public support falls

AI Overview:
Sentiment: Heightened but contained risk-off | Capital flowing to safe havens like gold, risk assets relatively calm
Fear Index (VIX)
15.9-2.7%
08/1408/1708/1808/1908/2008/2108/24
Panic Zone (>30)
Normal Zone (<20)
↓ How did it unfold? Check the timeline
How Did It Unfold?
02/28
US-Israel Joint Airstrike on Iran

Israel strikes Tehran with US intel support, Supreme Leader Khamenei killed, ~40 officials dead.

03/01
Iran's Full-Scale Retaliation

Iran fires missiles and drones at US bases in Saudi Arabia, Qatar, UAE; oil surges 25%.

03/05
Iran Launches 500+ Missiles

Iran launches 500+ ballistic missiles and ~2000 drones, 40% to Israel, 60% to US targets.

03/08
Mojtaba Khamenei Succeeds

Khamenei's son Mojtaba elected new Supreme Leader, IRGC pledges loyalty, vows to continue war.

03/09
Oil Breaks $100, War Expands

Brent breaks $100, highest since 2022. Israel bombs Tehran refinery, Hormuz Strait transit threatened.

03/10
Hormuz Paralysis, Oil Volatility

Israel destroys IRGC air HQ, Hormuz traffic near zero. Oil hits $119 then crashes to $80.

08/25
US Launches 'Economic Outcast'

US announces new severe sanctions and 'Operation Economic Outcast' to cut Iran's economic lifeline.

Today's Focus
09:00
US Announces New Sanctions on Iran · The US government announces a new round of comprehensive economic sanctions on Iran to further isolate the regime.
Crude Oil +0.2%
10:30
Iran Warns Sanctions Are 'Act of War' · An Iranian senior official states any support for new US sanctions will be seen as an 'act of war'.
12:00
US Launches 'Operation Economic Outcast' · The US formally launches 'Operation Economic Outcast' to cut Iran's ties to global economy via financial blockade.
Crude Oil +0.2%
14:15
Iran Threatens Neighbors Over Sanctions · Iran's security chief warns regional neighbors against participating in or supporting economic sanctions.
16:00
US Public Support for War Falls · New poll shows US public support for the ongoing Iran war has fallen, Trump's approval at record low.
S&P 500 +0.2%
↓ What assets to trade? See AI suggestions
What to Trade?
AI Advice:
Certainty: Gold (war hedge + central bank buying) at $4,742. Highest risk: Crude (Hormuz paralysis + Trump tweet caused $40 swing). Asymmetry: None; low VIX shows war escalation risk under-priced.
Safe Haven
Gold$4,742
24h+1.0%|Since Event-8.9%
OverweightWar safe-haven + central bank buying + geopolitical premium, $4,742 still has room
Crude Oil$85.14
24h+0.2%|Since Event+30.1%
HoldHormuz Strait blockade risk + 20% of global oil supply threatened
Risk Assets
BTC$78.9K
24h-0.2%|Since Event+16.0%
HoldConsolidating near $78.9K, safe-haven pressure but on-chain holdings stable
S&P 500$7653
24h+0.2%|Since Event+10.2%
HoldEnergy cost shock + war spreading to Gulf states, risk appetite extremely low
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Market Predictions
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MEME Opportunities
AI Narrative Insight:
US-Iran war fuels PolitiFi sector breakout, $GOLD leads as geopolitical sentiment token (MC $640.2K)
OMATIC
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Market Cap $21.3M
$WARSOL
+0.7%
Market Cap $483.5K