Gencatan senjata AS-Iran: Minyak anjlok, BTC kembali $72K

The US-Iran ceasefire is in place and markets are reacting fast. The fear that was holding oil up is gone. Capital that was hiding in safe havens is rotating out. Right now, two big trades are unfolding in opposite directions.

Oil: The "war premium" is gone

For weeks, oil wasn't just about supply and demand. It was pricing in fear, especially the risk of the Strait of Hormuz staying closed. With the ceasefire confirmed, that fear premium disappeared almost instantly. Money rushed out of commodities, triggering a sharp selloff.

How to approach it:

• Watch for key support levels below

• If price drops too fast, expect sharp rebounds from profit-taking

• Avoid chasing the bottom

• Look for a bounce → rejection → then potential short opportunities

Bitcoin: Back above $72,000

With tensions easing, risk appetite has returned quickly. Bitcoin led the move, pushing back above $72,000 as capital rotated out of oil and gold into higher-growth assets. Crypto is capturing a meaningful share of that flow.

How to approach it:

• Don't try to short strength early

• Momentum is on the upside – trade with the flow, not against it

Trading a macro shift: Keep it simple

Even with a ceasefire, volatility isn't over. Keep these in mind:

• Always use a stop-loss: One headline can move the market fast. Protect your downside.

• Stick to your thesis: Oil's war-driven support is gone – don't assume a rebound. Bitcoin's bullish structure is intact – don't fight it without a clear reason.

Are you ready to trade the movement? The macro move has created two high-conviction setups: BRENTOIL and BTC. Find and capture your next trading opportunity early.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Perps trading involves significant risk. Always manage your position size and set stop-losses before entering any trade.