Updated 3 min ago

US-Israel Strike on Iran · Day 180

Iran insists Hormuz closed·US sanctions fuel retaliation threat·Oman deal not yet open strait

AI Overview:
Sentiment: Cautious but stable | Capital flowing slightly to gold as safe haven, pressuring oil and BTC
Fear Index (VIX)
15.6-3,0%
08/1808/1908/2008/2108/2408/2508/26
Panic Zone (>30)
Normal Zone (<20)
↓ How did it unfold? Check the timeline
How Did It Unfold?
02/28
US-Israel joint airstrike on Iran

Israel strikes Tehran with US intel support, Khamenei killed, ~40 officials dead

03/01
Iran launches full-scale retaliation

Iran fires missiles/drones at US bases in Saudi, Qatar, UAE, oil surges 25%

03/05
Iran fires 500+ missiles

Iran launches 500+ ballistic missiles, 2000 drones; 40% to Israel, 60% to US targets

03/08
Mojtaba Khamenei succeeds

Khamenei's son Mojtaba elected new Supreme Leader, IRGC pledges loyalty, vows war

03/09
Oil breaks $100, war expands

Brent oil tops $100, highest since 2022. Israel bombs Tehran refinery, Hormuz threatened

03/10
Hormuz paralyzed, oil volatile

Israel destroys IRGC air HQ, Hormuz traffic near zero. Oil hits $119, drops to $80 on Trump threat

08/26
Iran refuses to open Hormuz

Despite Oman deal for temporary corridor, Iran insists Strait remains closed, demands US lift blockade

Today's Focus
08:00
US widens sanctions on Iran · Trump administration announces new sanctions on Iran's finance, energy sectors to increase pressure
Crude Oil -2,5%
10:00
Iran vows retaliation for US sanctions · Iran warns of harsh response to new US sanctions, fueling fears of escalated war
Crude Oil -2,5%
12:00
Iran-Oman temporary corridor deal · Iran and Oman plan temporary Hormuz corridor, but implementation hurdles remain
Crude Oil -2,5%
14:00
Iran insists Hormuz still closed · Iran clarifies Oman deal does not mean Strait is open, demands US lift blockade first
Crude Oil -2,5%
16:00
US official hints at possible strikes · US official Hegseth says military strikes possible after sanctions plan unveiled
Crude Oil -2,5%
↓ What assets to trade? See AI suggestions
What to Trade?
AI Advice:
Most certain: Gold (war hedge + central bank buying). Highest risk: Crude oil (Trump volatility). Asymmetric: Oil oversold at $80, but wait for panic to subside.
Safe Haven
Gold$4,683
24h+1,0%|Since Event-10,1%
OverweightWar safe-haven + central bank buying + geopolitical premium, $4,683 still has room
Crude Oil$80.34
24h-2,5%|Since Event+22,8%
HoldHormuz Strait blockade risk + 20% of global oil supply threatened
Risk Assets
BTC$78.4K
24h-0,2%|Since Event+15,4%
HoldConsolidating near $78.4K, safe-haven pressure but on-chain holdings stable
S&P 500$7677
24h0,0%|Since Event+10,5%
HoldEnergy cost shock + war spreading to Gulf states, risk appetite extremely low
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Market Predictions
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MEME Opportunities
AI Narrative Insight:
US-Iran war fuels PolitiFi sector breakout, $GOLD leads as geopolitical sentiment token (MC $641.8K)
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