Updated 2 min ago

US-Israel Strike on Iran · Day 179

US announces new sanctions·Iran threatens harsh response·Trump approval at record low

AI Overview:
Sentiment: Cautious with mild safe-haven demand | Capital flows to gold, while risk assets show limited movement
Fear Index (VIX)
15.9-2.7%
08/1408/1708/1808/1908/2008/2108/24
Panic Zone (>30)
Normal Zone (<20)
↓ How did it unfold? Check the timeline
How Did It Unfold?
02/28
US-Israel joint airstrike on Iran

Israel strikes Tehran with US intel support, Supreme Leader Khamenei killed, ~40 officials dead

03/01
Iran launches full-scale retaliation

Iran fires missiles & drones at US bases in Saudi, Qatar, UAE, oil surges 25%

03/05
Iran fires 500+ missiles

Iran launches 500+ ballistic missiles & ~2000 drones, 40% to Israel, 60% to US targets

03/08
Mojtaba Khamenei succeeds

Khamenei's son Mojtaba elected new Supreme Leader, IRGC pledges loyalty, vows to continue war

03/09
Oil breaks $100, war expands

Brent crude breaks $100, highest since 2022. Israel bombs Tehran refinery again, Hormuz Strait threatened

03/10
Hormuz paralyzed, oil volatile

Israel destroys IRGC air HQ, Hormuz traffic near zero, oil hits $119 then crashes to $80 on Trump threat

08/25
US launches economic isolation op

US announces new comprehensive sanctions on Iran, 'Operation Economic Outcast', to cut economic lifeline

Today's Focus
09:00
US announces new sanctions on Iran · US launches 'Operation Economic Outcast', imposing new comprehensive economic sanctions on Iran to cut war funding.
Crude Oil +0.1%
10:30
Iran warns sanctions are act of war · Iranian official says any country supporting new US sanctions will be seen as engaging in war, faces harsh response.
12:00
Iran threatens neighbors over sanctions · Iran security chief warns regional neighbors of severe consequences for cooperating with US economic measures.
14:00
Netanyahu says Iran tried to kill his son · Israeli PM Netanyahu accuses Iranian intelligence of recent attempt to assassinate one of his sons.
16:00
US public support for war falls · New poll shows US public support for Iran war declining, while President Trump's approval hits record low.
S&P 500 +0.2%
↓ What assets to trade? See AI suggestions
What to Trade?
AI Advice:
Certainty: Gold for hedging, supported by geopolitics and central banks. Highest risk: Crude oil due to political noise and supply shocks. Asymmetry: Gold rebound after recent sell-off.
Safe Haven
Gold$4,739
24h+0.9%|Since Event-9.0%
OverweightWar safe-haven + central bank buying + geopolitical premium, $4,739 still has room
Crude Oil$85.13
24h+0.1%|Since Event+30.1%
HoldHormuz Strait blockade risk + 20% of global oil supply threatened
Risk Assets
BTC$78.8K
24h-0.3%|Since Event+15.9%
HoldConsolidating near $78.8K, safe-haven pressure but on-chain holdings stable
S&P 500$7653
24h+0.2%|Since Event+10.2%
HoldEnergy cost shock + war spreading to Gulf states, risk appetite extremely low
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Market Predictions
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MEME Opportunities
AI Narrative Insight:
US-Iran war fuels PolitiFi sector breakout, $GOLD leads as geopolitical sentiment token (MC $639.9K)
OMATIC
+5.6%
Market Cap $21.3M
$WARSOL
+1.9%
Market Cap $489.4K