This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if the USDC marketcap is equal to or greater than 50% of USDT marketcap on any day by December 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's "historical data" section for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/usd-coin/historical_data#panel and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/tether/historical_data#panel respectively, specifically the daily "Market Cap" data.

The daily market cap data for any given date will be considered finalized once data for the following calendar day is published on CoinGecko’s “Historical Data” page for both USDC and USDT.

This market will resolve based on the specified CoinGecko chart, not according to other sources or spot markets.

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if the USDC marketcap is equal to or greater than 50% of USDT marketcap on any day by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's "historical data" section for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/usd-coin/historical_data#panel and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/tether/historical_data#panel respectively, specifically the daily "Market Cap" data.

The daily market cap data for any given date will be considered finalized once data for the following calendar day is published on CoinGecko’s “Historical Data” page for both USDC and USDT.

This market will resolve based on the specified CoinGecko chart, not according to other sources or spot markets.

2026年12月31日

12月31日

USDCは___までにUSDT時価総額の50 ％を達成しますか？

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total stablecoin market cap shown on DefiLlama is equal to or greater than $500B on any day by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source is DefiLlama’s Total Stablecoins page, available at:
https://defillama.com/stablecoins

A data point on the DefiLlama chart is considered finalized once the data point for the following day is published.

If the DefiLlama page becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other credible and publicly verifiable sources.

ステーブルコインは2027年までに5千億$に達するでしょうか？

This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for USDTb-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’26 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Below 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of USDTb below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2026 will count.

The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the USDTb-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSDTbUSD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” at the top of the chart.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Pyth USDTb-USD. If Pyth stops having the necessary USDTb information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether USDTb was below 98 cents for 24 hours or more may be used to resolve this market.

USDTb

This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for USD0-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’26 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Below 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of USD0 below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2026 will count.

The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the USD0-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSD0USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” at the top of the chart.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Pyth USD0-USD. If Pyth stops having the necessary USD0 information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether USD0 was below 98 cents for 24 hours or more may be used to resolve this market.

USD0

This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for GHO-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’26 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Below 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of GHO below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2026 will count.

The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the GHO-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AGHOUSD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” at the top of the chart.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Pyth GHO-USD. If Pyth stops having the necessary GHO information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether GHO was below 98 cents for 24 hours or more may be used to resolve this market.

Stablecoins depeg before 2027?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USD-denominated stablecoin supply falls below 99% of total stablecoin supply at any point in 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source is Artemis (https://app.artemisanalytics.com/stablecoins), using the “Stablecoin Supply by Currency” chart. The USD percentage shown when hovering over a monthly data point will be used.

A monthly data point will be considered finalized once the following month’s data point is published.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable crypto data sources.

米ドル建てのステーブルコインの市場シェアは、2026年に99 ％を下回るでしょうか？

This market will resolve to "Yes" if X launches a stablecoin pegged to the US Dollar by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The stablecoin must be actively transferrable and/or tradable, announcements alone will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from X, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Xは2026年に米ドルのステーブルコインを発売しますか？

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Revolut launches a stablecoin pegged to the US Dollar by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The stablecoin must be actively transferrable and/or tradable, announcements alone will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Revolut, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Revolutは2026年に米ドルのステーブルコインを発売しますか？

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta launches a stablecoin pegged to the US Dollar by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The stablecoin must be actively transferrable and/or tradable, announcements alone will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Meta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Metaは2026年に米ドルのステーブルコインをローンチしますか？

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Stablecoin market cap shown on DefiLlama is equal to or greater than $3B on any day by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source is DefiLlama’s United Stablecoin page, available at:
https://defillama.com/stablecoin/united-stables

A data point on the DefiLlama "Total circ" chart is considered finalized once the data point for the following day is published.

If the DefiLlama page becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other credible and publicly verifiable sources.

ユナイテッド・ステイブルズは2026年に30億$を達成するでしょうか？

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if the USDT marketcap is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title on any day by December 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's "historical data" section for USDT, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/tether/historical_data#panel respectively, specifically the daily "Market Cap" data.

The daily market cap data for any given date will be considered finalized once data for the following calendar day is published on CoinGecko’s “Historical Data” page.

This market will resolve based on the specified CoinGecko chart, not according to other sources or spot markets.

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if the USDT marketcap is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title on any day by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's "historical data" section for USDT, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/tether/historical_data#panel respectively, specifically the daily "Market Cap" data.

The daily market cap data for any given date will be considered finalized once data for the following calendar day is published on CoinGecko’s “Historical Data” page.

This market will resolve based on the specified CoinGecko chart, not according to other sources or spot markets.

USDTの時価総額は___までに2,000億$に達するでしょうか？

Soccer

International

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France

Spain

Italy

China

India

Japan

South Korea

Brazil

Australia

Mexico

Netherlands

Russia

Turkey

Saudi Arabia

Portugal

Denmark

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Basketball

Esports

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United Arab Emirates

Pakistan

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New Zealand

Baseball

Football

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Sweden

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Tennis

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