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Midterms
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Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$26.7M vol.
64%
Democrats Sweep28%
R Senate, D HouseTexas Senate Election Winner
$4.6M vol.
64%
James Talarico (D)37%
Ken Paxton (R)Which party will win the House in 2026?
$19.1M vol.
92%
Democratic Party9%
Republican PartyWhich party will win the Senate in 2026?
$7.4M vol.
65%
Democratic Party36%
Republican PartyWho wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?
$941.4K vol.
59%
Oil ≥ $85; D Senate30%
Oil ≥ $85; R SenateOhio Governor Election Winner
$568.2K vol.
80%
Amy Acton (D)22%
Vivek Ramaswamy (R)Michigan Senate Election Winner
$2M vol.
70%
Abdul El-Sayed (D)31%
Mike Rogers (R)Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?
$583.9K vol.
63%
Oil ≥ $80; D Senate32%
Oil ≥ $80; R SenateAlaska Senate Election Winner
$1.5M vol.
74%
Mary Peltola26%
Sen. Dan SullivanWho wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?
$2.3M vol.
94%
No Hormuz Agreement4%
Hormuz Agreement; R SenateSouth Carolina Senate Election Winner
$926.9K vol.
82%
Darline Graham Nordone (R)19%
Annie Andrews (D)Iowa Senate Election Winner
$971.3K vol.
59%
Ashley Hinson (R)43%
Josh Turek (D)Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
$1.3M vol.
88%
No Hormuz Agreement9%
Hormuz Agreement; D SenateWho wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?
$351.5K vol.
68%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate32%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R SenateWisconsin Governor Election Winner
$783.1K vol.
81%
David Crowley (D)20%
Tom Tiffany (R)Maine Senate Election Winner
$2.3M vol.
64%
Troy Jackson (D)36%
Susan Collins (R)Texas Governor Election Winner
$640.4K vol.
74%
Greg Abbott (R)27%
Gina Hinojosa (D) Nebraska Senate Election Winner
$776.9K vol.
72%
Pete Ricketts (R)29%
IndependentRepublican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
$3.2M vol.
40%
≤4718%
48VA-05 House Election Winner
$178.9K vol.
66%
John McGuire (R)35%
Tom Perriello (D)PA-01 House Election Winner
$69.8K vol.
60%
Brian Fitzpatrick (R)42%
Bob Harvie (D)AR-02 House Election Winner
$72.3K vol.
85%
French Hill (R)17%
Chris Jones (D)Mississippi Senate Election Winner
$215.9K vol.
90%
Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)11%
Scott Colom (D)Ohio Senate Election Winner
$1.4M vol.
65%
Sherrod Brown (D)36%
Jon Husted (R)