Politik

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Fed Decision in July? card icon

Fed Decision in July?

$90.8M vol.

74%
No change
25%
25 bps increase
Presidential Election Winner 2028 card icon

Presidential Election Winner 2028

$670.2M vol.

20%
JD Vance
13%
Marco Rubio
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 card icon

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

$1.2B vol.

20%
Gavin Newsom
16%
Jon Ossoff
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? card icon

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

$46.9M vol.

30%
Yes
71%
No
Iran leader end of 2026? card icon

Iran leader end of 2026?

$34.6M vol.

73%
Mojtaba Khamenei
9%
No Head of State
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? card icon

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

$20.3M vol.

<1%
Yes
100%
No
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by...? card icon

Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by...?

$669.2K vol.

96%
August 31
91%
July 31
Elon Musk # tweets July 21 - July 28, 2026? card icon

Elon Musk # tweets July 21 - July 28, 2026?

$1.3M vol.

22%
240-259
21%
260-279
Elon Musk # tweets July 23 - July 25, 2026? card icon

Elon Musk # tweets July 23 - July 25, 2026?

$464.9K vol.

49%
90-114
48%
65-89
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 card icon

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

$678.4M vol.

43%
J.D. Vance
28%
Marco Rubio
Iran leadership change by...? card icon

Iran leadership change by...?

$20.5M vol.

41%
June 30, 2027
28%
December 31
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? card icon

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

$2.6M vol.

33%
Yes
68%
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? card icon

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

$2M vol.

11%
Yes
90%
No
Putin out as President of Russia by...? card icon

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

$18.4M vol.

17%
June 30, 2027
9%
December 31, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? card icon

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

$5.8M vol.

52%
Yes
49%
No
Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...? card icon

Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?

$8M vol.

19%
August 15
8%
July 31
Next French Presidential Election card icon

Next French Presidential Election

$115.8M vol.

31%
Marine Le Pen
27%
Édouard Philippe
Elon Musk # tweets July 24 - July 31, 2026? card icon

Elon Musk # tweets July 24 - July 31, 2026?

$371.2K vol.

15%
180-199
15%
160-179
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? card icon

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

$23M vol.

10%
Yes
91%
No
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? card icon

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

$780.4K vol.

46%
Yes
55%
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? card icon

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

$853.2K vol.

44%
August 31
30%
August 15
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election? card icon

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

$15.9M vol.

58%
United Russia (ER)
33%
New People (NL)
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? card icon

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

$29M vol.

49%
Gadi Eizenkot
38%
Benjamin Netanyahu
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? card icon

Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

$1M vol.

4%
Yes
96%
No
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