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Midterms
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Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$39M vol.
66%
Democrats Sweep27%
R Senate, D House
Which party will win the House in 2026?
$23.8M vol.
92%
Democratic Party9%
Republican Party
Texas Senate Election Winner
$6.7M vol.
66%
James Talarico (D)34%
Ken Paxton (R)
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
$9.3M vol.
66%
Democratic Party35%
Republican Party
Maine Senate Election Winner
$2.7M vol.
61%
Troy Jackson (D)40%
Susan Collins (R)
Texas Governor Election Winner
$998.9K vol.
68%
Greg Abbott (R)32%
Gina Hinojosa (D) 
Alaska Senate Election Winner
$1.7M vol.
73%
Mary Peltola26%
Sen. Dan Sullivan
Arizona Governor Election Winner
$350K vol.
90%
Katie Hobbs (D)11%
Andy Biggs (R)
Michigan Senate Election Winner
$2.7M vol.
69%
Abdul El-Sayed (D)32%
Mike Rogers (R)
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
$1.6M vol.
95%
No Hormuz Agreement5%
Hormuz Agreement; D Senate
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
$3.7M vol.
42%
≤4716%
48
Ohio Senate Election Winner
$1.8M vol.
69%
Sherrod Brown (D)32%
Jon Husted (R)
Florida Governor Election Winner
$483.4K vol.
81%
Byron Donalds (R) 20%
David Jolly (D)
South Carolina Senate Election Winner
$1M vol.
78%
Darline Graham Nordone (R)23%
Annie Andrews (D)
Mississippi Senate Election Winner
$380.2K vol.
87%
Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)14%
Scott Colom (D)
NJ-02 House Election Winner
$159.9K vol.
73%
Jeff Van Drew (R)30%
Zack Mullock (D)
Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?
$828.7K vol.
65%
Oil ≥ $80; D Senate32%
Oil ≥ $80; R Senate
FL-25 House Election Winner
$97.7K vol.
78%
Jared Moskowitz (D)24%
Scott Singer (R)
AZ-01 House Election Winner
$142.5K vol.
79%
Amish Shah (D)22%
Jay Feely (R)
Kansas Senate Election Winner
$1.2M vol.
62%
Roger Marshall (R)38%
Adam Hamilton (D)
Oklahoma Governor Election Winner
$110.3K vol.
89%
Mike Mazzei (R)11%
Cyndi Munson (D)
Ohio Governor Election Winner
$1M vol.
83%
Amy Acton (D)18%
Vivek Ramaswamy (R)
Tennessee Governor Election Winner
$62K vol.
94%
Marsha Blackburn (R)7%
Jerri Green (D)
Florida Senate Election Winner
$302.9K vol.
90%
Ashley Moody (R)11%
Angie Nixon (D)
