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Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
$70.3M vol.
4%
December 31<1%
September 30
Precipitation in NYC in September?
$53.2K vol.
47%
4-5"26%
5-6"
New pandemic in 2026?
$1.1M vol.
5%
Yes96%
No
Precipitation in Seattle in September?
$41.1K vol.
41%
1.5-2"42%
2-2.5"
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?
$134.6K vol.
64%
December 31, 202739%
September 30, 2027
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
$331.5K vol.
76%
December 31, 202739%
December 31, 2026
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
$3.5M vol.
73%
126%
2
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
$299K vol.
71%
December 31, 202733%
December 31, 2026
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
$722.7K vol.
99%
October 3187%
Successful splash down?
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
$172.4K vol.
12%
Yes89%
No
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
$163.9K vol.
65%
022%
1
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
$402.6K vol.
35%
December 31, 202814%
December 31, 2027
Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?
$17.4K vol.
2%
3800+2%
3700+
Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?
$31.3K vol.
38%
Hodge Conjecture31%
Hadamard Matrix Conjecture
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?
$15.5K vol.
31%
December 31, 202814%
December 31, 2027
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?
$51.7K vol.
84%
June 30, 2027?47%
March 31, 2027
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
$187.9K vol.
53%
Hodge Conjecture21%
No solution by Dec 31, 2027
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
$514.9K vol.
54%
5-646%
<5
Precipitation in Hong Kong in September?
$23.2K vol.
99%
<275mm2%
375-400mm
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
$1.4M vol.
63%
14–1625%
17–19
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$6M vol.
55%
Anthropic52%
SpaceX
Lowest Mississippi level at St. Louis by November 30?
$1.7K vol.
32%
3.00 ft or more25%
1.00 to 2.99 ft
Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?
$68.8K vol.
71%
December 31, 202726%
December 31, 2026
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?
$16.6K vol.
17%
December 31, 202610%
October 31, 2026
