Science

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Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? card icon

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

$64.6M vol.

5%
December 31
2%
September 30
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...? card icon

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?

$932.1K vol.

86%
December 31, 2027
85%
June 30, 2027
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? card icon

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

$5.3M vol.

60%
SpaceX
42%
Anthropic
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes August 10 - August 16? card icon

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes August 10 - August 16?

$30.1K vol.

70%
2
26%
3
Measles cases in U.S. by August 31? card icon

Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?

$18.3K vol.

100%
2500+
100%
2550+
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 card icon

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

$59.5K vol.

95%
September 30
96%
October 31
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___? card icon

Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?

$6.2K vol.

28%
December 31, 2027
6%
December 31, 2026
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? card icon

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

$3.3M vol.

66%
1
30%
2
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026? card icon

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

$1.3M vol.

41%
14–16
36%
17–19
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? card icon

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

$7.8M vol.

95%
↑3k
94%
↑3.5k
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? card icon

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

$273.5K vol.

8%
Yes
94%
No
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes August 17 - August 23? card icon

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes August 17 - August 23?

$502 vol.

44%
0
33%
1
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___? card icon

Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?

$274 vol.

50%
October 31, 2026
29%
December 31, 2026
Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31? card icon

Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31?

$7.1K vol.

100%
15,000+
70%
20,000+
How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026? card icon

How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?

$1K vol.

87%
120–139
36%
80-99
Precipitation in Hong Kong in August? card icon

Precipitation in Hong Kong in August?

$5K vol.

39%
700mm+
39%
<425mm
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026? card icon

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

$492.6K vol.

65%
5-6
36%
<5
Natural Disaster in 2026? card icon

Natural Disaster in 2026?

$240.6K vol.

21%
Yes
80%
No
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 32, 2026? card icon

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 32, 2026?

$117 vol.

49%
<0.1
67%
0.1
How many SpaceX launches in 2026? card icon

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

$325.3K vol.

56%
140-159
41%
160-179
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? card icon

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

$195.8K vol.

3%
Yes
98%
No
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? card icon

New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?

$22.6K vol.

4%
Yes
96%
No
New pandemic in 2026? card icon

New pandemic in 2026?

$1M vol.

7%
Yes
94%
No
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___? card icon

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?

$962 vol.

49%
December 31, 2028
49%
December 31, 2027
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