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Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

$70.3M vol.

December 31

<1%

September 30

Precipitation in NYC in September?

$53.1K vol.

New pandemic in 2026?

$1.1M vol.

Yes

96%

Precipitation in Seattle in September?

$40.9K vol.

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

$163.9K vol.

65%

24%

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

$330.5K vol.

FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

$134.3K vol.

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

$297.8K vol.

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

$3.5M vol.

74%

26%

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

$172.4K vol.

12%

Yes

89%

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

$721.3K vol.

99%

October 31

85%

Super Heavy booster explodes?

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?

$402.6K vol.

Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?

$17.2K vol.

Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

$31.3K vol.

38%

Hodge Conjecture

31%

Hadamard Matrix Conjecture

Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?

$15.5K vol.

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

$187.9K vol.

53%

Hodge Conjecture

21%

No solution by Dec 31, 2027

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

$514.9K vol.

54%

5-6

46%

Precipitation in Hong Kong in September?

$23.1K vol.

99%

<275mm

375-400mm

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

$8M vol.

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

$1.4M vol.

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

$6M vol.

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

$68.8K vol.

Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?

$16.6K vol.

Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?

$50.9K vol.