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Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

$67.5M vol.

December 31

<1%

September 30

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

$633.7K vol.

99%

October 31

92%

Super Heavy booster explodes?

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

$7.9M vol.

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

$130.8K vol.

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

$126.8K vol.

40%

Hodge Conjecture

30%

Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

$210.6K vol.

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

$115.3K vol.

19%

Yes

82%

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

$62.6K vol.

50%

29%

New pandemic in 2026?

$1M vol.

Yes

94%

Precipitation in London in September?

$13.2K vol.

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

$53.7K vol.

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?

$342.7K vol.

Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

$10.9K vol.

45%

Hodge Conjecture

38%

Hadwiger-Nelson Problem

Precipitation in Seattle in September?

$12K vol.

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

$6M vol.

Precipitation in NYC in September?

$7.4K vol.

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

$205.3K vol.

10%

Yes

91%

Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?

$12K vol.

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?

$987.5K vol.

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

$3.4M vol.

78%

24%

Precipitation in Hong Kong in September?

$15.3K vol.

81%

<275mm

300-325mm

How many SpaceX launches in September 2026?

$3.1K vol.

96%

<12

14%

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

$1.4M vol.

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

$333.4K vol.

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