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Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

$74.7M vol.

December 31

<1%

October 31

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?

$1.1M vol.

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

$6.6M vol.

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

$959.3K vol.

FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

$215K vol.

Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?

$83.5K vol.

Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by...?

$10.9K vol.

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

$8.1M vol.

New pandemic in 2026?

$1.2M vol.

Yes

97%

How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?

$68.9K vol.

97%

20 to 34

35 to 49

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

$403.8K vol.

81%

16%

Lowest Mississippi level at Baton Rouge by November 30?

$38.9K vol.

Measles cases in U.S. by October 31?

$31.9K vol.

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

$3.8M vol.

83%

16%

Lowest Mississippi level at St. Louis by November 30?

$54K vol.

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

$275.7K vol.

38%

Hodge Conjecture

35%

No solution by Dec 31, 2027

Plague declared public health emergency by...?

$21.3K vol.

December 31

November 30

Plague pandemic in 2026?

$508.3K vol.

Yes

98%

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

$1.4M vol.

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?

$40.9K vol.

70%

Chopsticks catch Starship?

69%

Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?

Another pneumonic plague case in Russia by...?

$98.9K vol.

October 31, 2026

<1%

October 15, 2026

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

$205.3K vol.

12%

Yes

92%

Natural Disaster in 2026?

$251.1K vol.

14%

Yes

88%

Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?

$123K vol.

Yes

96%

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