Science

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Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? card icon

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

$62.6M vol.

8%
December 31
4%
September 30
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal? card icon

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

$634K vol.

99%
John Pardon
99%
Jacob Tsimerman
2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record? card icon

2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

$16.4K vol.

77%
1st hottest
21%
3rd hottest
Measles cases in U.S. by July 31? card icon

Measles cases in U.S. by July 31?

$28.5K vol.

94%
2300
23%
2400
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? card icon

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

$4.7M vol.

87%
SpaceX
13%
Anthropic
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) card icon

July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

$3.9K vol.

70%
1.20–1.24ºC
24%
1.15–1.19ºC
Precipitation in Hong Kong in July? card icon

Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?

$3.1K vol.

24%
400-425mm
37%
450-475mm
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? card icon

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

$723.2K vol.

3%
Yes
98%
No
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? card icon

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

$7.7M vol.

85%
↑3k
61%
↑3.5k
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? card icon

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

$3M vol.

61%
2
36%
1
Precipitation in London in July? card icon

Precipitation in London in July?

$2.1K vol.

79%
30-40mm
79%
80mm+
Precipitation in Seoul in July? card icon

Precipitation in Seoul in July?

$5.7K vol.

100%
100mm+
3%
90-100mm
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? card icon

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

$115.3K vol.

2%
Yes
98%
No
New pandemic in 2026? card icon

New pandemic in 2026?

$892.1K vol.

7%
Yes
95%
No
Precipitation in NYC in July? card icon

Precipitation in NYC in July?

$1.6K vol.

35%
4-5"
28%
3-4"
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? card icon

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

$118.5K vol.

7%
Yes
95%
No
How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026? card icon

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

$75.9K vol.

87%
1250+
7%
1200–1249
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? card icon

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

$145.4K vol.

93%
Yes
11%
No
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 27, 2026? card icon

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 27, 2026?

$2.3K vol.

100%
86–89
2%
<80
Human moon landing in 2026? card icon

Human moon landing in 2026?

$1.9M vol.

3%
Yes
97%
No
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? card icon

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

$247.9K vol.

8%
Yes
93%
No
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19? card icon

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?

$178 vol.

70%
10
70%
11
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026? card icon

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

$1.3M vol.

48%
14–16
27%
11–13
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19? card icon

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?

$85 vol.

60%
0
48%
1
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