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Politica
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$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$4.5M vol.
<1%
$1B100%
$100M
Next French Presidential Election
$143.6M vol.
46%
Marine Le Pen18%
Édouard Philippe
Trump renames AI by...?
$1.5M vol.
100%
September 30100%
December 31
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$17.2M vol.
67%
Democrats Sweep28%
R Senate, D House
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
$12.5M vol.
100%
March 31, 2027100%
September 30, 2026
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$1.2B vol.
18%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17%
Gavin Newsom
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
$35.4M vol.
72%
March 3152%
December 31
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
$42.4M vol.
46%
Gadi Eizenkot37%
Benjamin Netanyahu
Presidential Election Winner 2028
$712.5M vol.
20%
JD Vance13%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Elon Musk # tweets September 29 - October 6, 2026?
$1M vol.
47%
220-23927%
200-219
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$71.5M vol.
17%
Yes84%
No
Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
$1.2M vol.
99%
Flavio Bolsonaro96%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
$2.7M vol.
16%
December 31, 202810%
December 31, 2027
Elon Musk # tweets October 3 - October 5, 2026?
$221.7K vol.
74%
40-6422%
65-89
Texas Senate Election Winner
$2M vol.
64%
James Talarico (D)37%
Ken Paxton (R)
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
$5.9M vol.
99%
October 596%
October 7
Elon Musk # tweets October 2 - October 9, 2026?
$473.2K vol.
28%
200-21926%
180-199
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
$703.6K vol.
7%
Yes93%
No
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$709.4M vol.
50%
J.D. Vance15%
Marco Rubio
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
$5.7M vol.
65%
Democratic Party35%
Republican Party
Which party will win the House in 2026?
$13.3M vol.
94%
Democratic Party8%
Republican Party
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?
$430.3K vol.
7%
Yes94%
No
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by...?
$146.3K vol.
100%
September 30100%
October 31
Iran leader end of 2026?
$39.8M vol.
88%
Mojtaba Khamenei5%
No Head of State
