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Politica
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Fed Decision in July?
$59.8M vol.
91%
No change9%
25 bps increaseDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$1.2B vol.
20%
Gavin Newsom15%
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
$673.6M vol.
42%
J.D. Vance28%
Marco RubioPresidential Election Winner 2028
$658.6M vol.
20%
JD Vance14%
Marco RubioUS charges Hormuz fees by...?
$488.7K vol.
12%
December 317%
August 31Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$41.4M vol.
20%
Yes81%
NoIran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
$5.1M vol.
41%
August 1528%
July 31Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
$10.3M vol.
<1%
Yes100%
NoFed Decision in September?
$2.8M vol.
57%
No change39%
25 bps increaseElon Musk # tweets July 10 - July 17, 2026?
$1.3M vol.
30%
140-15924%
120-139Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
$16.4M vol.
2%
Yes98%
NoNext French Presidential Election
$112.3M vol.
31%
Marine Le Pen27%
Édouard PhilippeWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$21.8M vol.
11%
Yes90%
NoTrump out as President by July 31?
$924.5K vol.
<1%
Yes99%
NoElon Musk # tweets July 13 - July 15, 2026?
$150K vol.
50%
<4049%
40-64Elon Musk # tweets July 17 - July 24, 2026?
$136.4K vol.
17%
180-19916%
200-219Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
$584.9K vol.
3%
Yes97%
NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
$62.6M vol.
8%
December 314%
September 30Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
$2.8M vol.
49%
June 30, 202721%
December 31Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
$26.6M vol.
42%
Gadi Eizenkot38%
Benjamin NetanyahuUS announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
$693.1K vol.
41%
August 3117%
July 31Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
$34.8M vol.
4%
Yes96%
NoElon Musk # tweets July 14 - July 21, 2026?
$318.6K vol.
18%
160-17916%
140-159Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
$6.4M vol.
52%
August 3121%
July 31