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Fed Rates
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Fed Decision in October?
$73.5M vol.
93%
No change7%
25 bps increaseFed Decision in December?
$4.7M vol.
75%
25 bps increase21%
No changeHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$54.8M vol.
96%
0 (0 bps)1%
1 (25 bps)How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$212.9K vol.
81%
Below 5.25%64%
Below 5.20%How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$264.9K vol.
75%
Below 4.70%63%
Below 4.65%Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
$498K vol.
75%
Hike–Pause–Hike22%
Hike–Pause–PauseAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
$1M vol.
77%
Yes24%
NoHow high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$176.4K vol.
100%
4.80%78%
4.90%How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$271.2K vol.
86%
5.40%64%
5.50%What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$7.1M vol.
72%
4.25%21%
4.0%Fed Decision in January?
$916.4K vol.
67%
No change29%
25 bps increaseHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$1.1M vol.
43%
5.3%25%
5.4%How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?
$39K vol.
40%
230%
1How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in October?
$25.7K vol.
14%
5.08%8%
5.11%Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
$73.7K vol.
60%
Pause-Hike-Pause20%
Pause-Hike-HikeNo change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?
$56.6K vol.
99%
No change2%
Hike 25 bpsWhat will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.8M vol.
76%
↑ 4.25%10%
↑ 4.5%Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$253.9K vol.
2%
Yes98%
NoHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?
$35.3K vol.
52%
Below 4.95%30%
Below 4.90%How high will 2-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$27.9K vol.
89%
4.75%87%
4.80%How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in October?
$23.9K vol.
5%
5.80%5%
5.73%How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$438.8K vol.
80%
Below 4.9%62%
Below 4.8%How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in October?
$19.7K vol.
93%
4.86%30%
4.89%Fed rate cut by...?
$3.8M vol.
79%
July 2027 Meeting38%
April 2027 Meeting