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Fed Rates
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Fed Decision in September?
$140.1M vol.
80%
25 bps increase21%
No change
Fed rate hike by...?
$3.3M vol.
82%
October Meeting79%
September Meeting
Fed rate hike in 2026?
$9.1M vol.
87%
Yes14%
No
Fed Decision in October?
$1.7M vol.
62%
No change38%
25 bps increase
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$52.3M vol.
94%
0 (0 bps)4%
1 (25 bps)
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$6.8M vol.
44%
4.0%38%
4.25%
Fed Decision in December?
$687K vol.
56%
25 bps increase40%
No change
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$387.6K vol.
88%
5.0%67%
5.1%
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$255.2K vol.
18%
Below 3.8%15%
Below 3.9%
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$213.6K vol.
9%
Yes93%
No
Fed rate cut by...?
$3.4M vol.
7%
December Meeting3%
October Meeting
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
$760.9K vol.
85%
Other14%
Pause–Pause–Pause
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
$28.7K vol.
21%
Below 4.76%16%
Below 4.73%
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
$864.2K vol.
79%
Other21%
Pause–Pause–Pause
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$12.2K vol.
93%
5.40%80%
5.45%
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$14.3K vol.
46%
Below 4.50%38%
Below 4.45%
What will be the next Fed rate change?
$14.8K vol.
96%
Hike8%
Cut
How many dissent at the September Fed meeting?
$35.6K vol.
27%
024%
1
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
$29.1K vol.
96%
4.97%83%
5.00%
Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?
$17.7K vol.
10%
November 308%
December 31
Fed Decision in January?
$70.7K vol.
60%
No change23%
25 bps increase
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?
$16.4K vol.
78%
5.39%85%
5.42%
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.8M vol.
50%
↑ 4.25%16%
↑ 4.5%
How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
$12.8K vol.
65%
Below 5.21%44%
Below 5.24%
