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Fed Rates
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Fed Decision in June?
$48.8M vol.
98%
No change1%
25 bps decrease
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$30.7M vol.
67%
0 (0 bps)19%
1 (25 bps)
Fed Decision in July?
$7M vol.
93%
No change4%
25 bps increase
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)
$1.2M vol.
98%
Pause–Pause–Pause2%
Pause–Pause–Cut
Fed rate cut by...?
$1.8M vol.
33%
December Meeting23%
October Meeting
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
$354.5K vol.
47%
December 31<1%
May 30
Fed Decision in September?
$65.4K vol.
75%
No change13%
25 bps increase
Fed rate hike in 2026?
$1.3M vol.
32%
Yes69%
No
How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
$26.1K vol.
69%
014%
1
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$6.5M vol.
45%
3.75%25%
4.0%
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.5M vol.
28%
↓ 3.25%13%
↓ 3.0%
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$235.4K vol.
26%
4.8%15%
5.0%
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
$274.3K vol.
4%
Yes97%
No
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$105.3K vol.
13%
Yes91%
No
Fed rate hike by...?
$153.6K vol.
26%
October Meeting21%
September Meeting
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
$16.2K vol.
18%
December 316%
June 30
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
$1.6K vol.
78%
Pause–Pause–Pause41%
Pause–Pause–Cut
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)
$52K vol.
95%
Pause–Pause–Pause6%
Pause–Pause–Cut
Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?
$3.7K vol.
2%
Yes99%
No
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$215.5K vol.
53%
3.9%51%
3.8%
