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Fed Rates
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Fed Decision in October?
$63.9M vol.
95%
No change6%
25 bps increaseFed Decision in December?
$4.6M vol.
77%
25 bps increase21%
No changeFed decisions (Sep–Dec)
$487.9K vol.
74%
Hike–Pause–Hike22%
Hike–Pause–PauseHow low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$253.3K vol.
72%
Below 4.70%63%
Below 4.65%How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$169.2K vol.
100%
4.80%98%
4.90%Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
$1M vol.
78%
Yes23%
NoFed Decision in January?
$908.9K vol.
69%
No change29%
25 bps increaseHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$54.8M vol.
97%
0 (0 bps)1%
1 (25 bps)How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$1.1M vol.
70%
5.3%24%
5.4%How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$192.3K vol.
78%
Below 5.25%59%
Below 5.20%What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$7.1M vol.
72%
4.25%17%
4.0%How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$266K vol.
87%
5.40%66%
5.50%How high will 2-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$27K vol.
98%
4.75%80%
4.80%How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$436.2K vol.
88%
Below 4.9%62%
Below 4.8%How low will 2-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$26.1K vol.
73%
Below 4.50%66%
Below 4.60%How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?
$36.6K vol.
31%
228%
0Fed rate cut by...?
$3.8M vol.
80%
July 2027 Meeting38%
April 2027 MeetingWhat will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.8M vol.
74%
↑ 4.25%10%
↑ 4.5%How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in October?
$23.6K vol.
68%
5.14%33%
5.08%How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in October?
$18.4K vol.
68%
4.89%32%
4.86%How low will 2-year Treasury yield get in October?
$17.3K vol.
70%
Below 4.64%42%
Below 4.60%Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
$71.9K vol.
60%
Pause-Hike-Pause18%
Pause-Hike-HikeFed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$252.9K vol.
4%
Yes96%
NoHow many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
$37.4K vol.
49%
036%
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