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Fed Rates
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Fed Decision in October?
$24.2M vol.
83%
No change18%
25 bps increase
Fed Decision in December?
$2.5M vol.
75%
25 bps increase23%
No change
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
$505.7K vol.
73%
Yes28%
No
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
$813.7K vol.
100%
Other<1%
Pause–Pause–Pause
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$53.7M vol.
96%
0 (0 bps)2%
1 (25 bps)
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
$215.9K vol.
68%
Hike–Pause–Hike24%
Hike–Pause–Pause
What will be the next Fed rate change?
$27.4K vol.
100%
Hike<1%
Cut
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$810.2K vol.
88%
5.3%65%
5.4%
Fed Decision in January?
$208K vol.
65%
No change32%
25 bps increase
Fed rate cut by...?
$3.7M vol.
79%
July 2027 Meeting49%
April 2027 Meeting
No change flips Hike 25 bps for October Fed by...?
$20.5K vol.
100%
September 30100%
October 15
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$149K vol.
84%
5.65%67%
5.70%
How low will 2-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$4.5K vol.
89%
Below 4.70%58%
Below 4.60%
How high will 2-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$4.4K vol.
97%
4.90%49%
5.10%
How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in October?
$3.9K vol.
87%
5.08%63%
5.11%
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in October?
$3.4K vol.
66%
Below 4.92%62%
Below 4.95%
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in October?
$3.3K vol.
95%
5.67%76%
5.70%
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?
$3.2K vol.
89%
5.29%71%
5.32%
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?
$2.8K vol.
60%
Below 5.18%49%
Below 5.12%
How low will 2-year Treasury yield get in October?
$2.7K vol.
72%
Below 4.73%64%
Below 4.70%
How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in October?
$2.3K vol.
74%
4.86%71%
4.89%
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$242.3K vol.
4%
Yes96%
No
How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?
$10.8K vol.
35%
022%
3
How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in October?
$1.5K vol.
68%
Below 5.55%59%
Below 5.52%
