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How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$37.8M vol.
81%
0 (0 bps)13%
1 (25 bps)
SpaceX Closing Market Cap End of IPO Month
$1.1M vol.
48%
$2.0T-$2.5T43%
$1.5T-$2.0T
Largest Company end of June?
$23.5M vol.
98%
NVIDIA2%
Apple
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$3.3M vol.
86%
SpaceX14%
Anthropic
Largest Company end of December 2026?
$3.6M vol.
73%
NVIDIA11%
Alphabet
2nd largest company end of June?
$822.8K vol.
72%
Apple30%
Alphabet
How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?
$91.4K vol.
62%
450k–475k16%
475k+
OpenAI IPO by...?
$2.3M vol.
54%
December 31, 202614%
September 30, 2026
Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$378.4K vol.
9%
45%+7%
50%+
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
$8.5K vol.
70%
August 3151%
July 31
3rd largest company end of June?
$121.8K vol.
73%
Alphabet29%
Apple
IPOs before 2027?
$6.6M vol.
75%
Anthropic64%
Discord
Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?
$197.8K vol.
91%
Workhorse42%
Beyond Meat
OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$28.2K vol.
12%
50%+100%
35%+
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
$18M vol.
77%
MGM Resorts35%
Viking Therapeutics
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
$3.6M vol.
<1%
Yes100%
No
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
$64K vol.
19%
Yes82%
No
US recession by end of 2026?
$1.6M vol.
12%
Yes89%
No
How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by June 30?
$266.6K vol.
6%
85%1%
90%
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
$295.2K vol.
<1%
Yes99%
No
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
$173.4K vol.
76%
Anthropic26%
OpenAI
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
$282.4K vol.
34%
Yes67%
No
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
$97.8K vol.
83%
Yes18%
No
Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?
$123.9K vol.
42%
Aristotle12%
ForecastEx
