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How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$54.8M vol.
97%
0 (0 bps)1%
1 (25 bps)
US recession by end of 2026?
$2.3M vol.
9%
Yes92%
No
Largest Company end of October 2026?
$837.7K vol.
69%
NVIDIA33%
Apple
Largest Company end of December 2026?
$8.9M vol.
66%
NVIDIA36%
Apple
2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?
$104.8K vol.
71%
Apple31%
NVIDIA
IPOs before 2027?
$7.5M vol.
83%
Anthropic13%
Celonis
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
$18.4M vol.
15%
Perplexity AI14%
PayPal
CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?
$332K vol.
28%
December 31, 202920%
December 31, 2028
US Gov confirms PHP2Shell exploited by...?
$12.5K vol.
90%
December 3177%
October 31
OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?
$437.5K vol.
18%
December 31, 202916%
December 31, 2028
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$438.4K vol.
77%
Below 4.9%61%
Below 4.8%
Major company hacked via PHP flaw by...?
$3.6K vol.
54%
December 3132%
November 30
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
$441.3K vol.
95%
Anthropic6%
OpenAI
Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?
$2.6M vol.
25%
December 31, 202918%
December 31, 2028
AI bubble burst by...?
$3.1M vol.
23%
June 30, 202710%
December 31, 2026
OpenAI IPO by...?
$3.1M vol.
41%
June 30, 202721%
March 31, 2027
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$6.6M vol.
68%
SpaceX29%
Anthropic
GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ in 2026?
$34.2K vol.
69%
↑ $7.0046%
↓ $4.00
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
$570.4K vol.
38%
1.5T+39%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
US bank failure by December 31, 2026?
$13.4K vol.
78%
Yes25%
No
Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
$172.3K vol.
57%
No IPO by December 31, 20278%
11–14B
GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?
$46.6K vol.
61%
$3.00+35%
$2.75-$3.00
GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?
$65.3K vol.
69%
$5.50+33%
$5.00-$5.50
GPU rental prices (B200) end of November?
$13.9K vol.
53%
$9.00+27%
$7.50-$8.00
