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FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?
$75K vol.
68%
December 31, 202715%
June 30, 2027
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
$65.8M vol.
4%
December 311%
September 30
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
$403.7K vol.
98%
October 3189%
September 30
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$5.6M vol.
60%
Anthropic41%
SpaceX
Precipitation in Hong Kong in August?
$12.5K vol.
89%
<425mm19%
425-450mm
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
$7.8M vol.
100%
↑3k96%
↑3.5k
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$310.8K vol.
9%
Yes93%
No
August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) (HIGHER STRIKES)
$10K vol.
68%
1.38–1.41ºC25%
1.42–1.45ºC
Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31?
$11.7K vol.
17%
20,000+100%
10,000+
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
$3.3M vol.
75%
121%
2
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?
$40.5K vol.
88%
Yes13%
No
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
$505.1K vol.
60%
<546%
5-6
How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?
$8K vol.
85%
80-9950%
100–119
Precipitation in NYC in August?
$4.1K vol.
100%
>6"<1%
4-5"
Precipitation in London in August?
$7.9K vol.
92%
<30mm37%
30-40mm
How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
$5.1K vol.
50%
Fewer than 2032%
20 to 34
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?
$12.9K vol.
10%
Yes91%
No
Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?
$2.1K vol.
100%
2900+99%
3000+
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
$340.9K vol.
19%
Yes84%
No
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
$139.7K vol.
16%
Yes87%
No
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
$200.4K vol.
11%
Yes90%
No
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
$331.1K vol.
72%
140-15919%
160-179
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
$312.5K vol.
27%
Yes75%
No
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
$116.7K vol.
2%
Yes98%
No
