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FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...? card icon

FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

$75K vol.

68%
December 31, 2027
15%
June 30, 2027
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? card icon

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

$65.8M vol.

4%
December 31
1%
September 30
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 card icon

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

$403.7K vol.

98%
October 31
89%
September 30
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? card icon

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

$5.6M vol.

60%
Anthropic
41%
SpaceX
Precipitation in Hong Kong in August? card icon

Precipitation in Hong Kong in August?

$12.5K vol.

89%
<425mm
19%
425-450mm
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? card icon

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

$7.8M vol.

100%
↑3k
96%
↑3.5k
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? card icon

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

$310.8K vol.

9%
Yes
93%
No
August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) (HIGHER STRIKES) card icon

August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) (HIGHER STRIKES)

$10K vol.

68%
1.38–1.41ºC
25%
1.42–1.45ºC
Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31? card icon

Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31?

$11.7K vol.

17%
20,000+
100%
10,000+
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? card icon

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

$3.3M vol.

75%
1
21%
2
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? card icon

Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?

$40.5K vol.

88%
Yes
13%
No
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026? card icon

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

$505.1K vol.

60%
<5
46%
5-6
How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026? card icon

How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?

$8K vol.

85%
80-99
50%
100–119
Precipitation in NYC in August? card icon

Precipitation in NYC in August?

$4.1K vol.

100%
>6"
<1%
4-5"
Precipitation in London in August? card icon

Precipitation in London in August?

$7.9K vol.

92%
<30mm
37%
30-40mm
How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026? card icon

How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?

$5.1K vol.

50%
Fewer than 20
32%
20 to 34
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...? card icon

Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?

$12.9K vol.

10%
Yes
91%
No
Measles cases in U.S. by September 30? card icon

Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?

$2.1K vol.

100%
2900+
99%
3000+
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? card icon

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

$340.9K vol.

19%
Yes
84%
No
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? card icon

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

$139.7K vol.

16%
Yes
87%
No
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? card icon

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

$200.4K vol.

11%
Yes
90%
No
How many SpaceX launches in 2026? card icon

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

$331.1K vol.

72%
140-159
19%
160-179
5kt meteor strike in 2026? card icon

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

$312.5K vol.

27%
Yes
75%
No
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? card icon

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

$116.7K vol.

2%
Yes
98%
No
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