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Politics
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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$1.2B vol.
20%
Gavin Newsom15%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Fed Decision in July?
$53M vol.
64%
No change35%
25 bps increase
Presidential Election Winner 2028
$658.2M vol.
20%
JD Vance14%
Marco Rubio
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$672.8M vol.
42%
J.D. Vance28%
Marco Rubio
Elon Musk # tweets July 7 - July 14, 2026?
$3.4M vol.
67%
180-19932%
200-219
Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
$4.9M vol.
38%
August 1527%
July 31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$41.3M vol.
20%
Yes81%
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
$10M vol.
<1%
Yes100%
No
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
$2.8M vol.
49%
June 30, 202722%
December 31
Elon Musk # tweets July 10 - July 17, 2026?
$1.1M vol.
27%
140-15922%
120-139
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
$16.2M vol.
3%
Yes97%
No
Next French Presidential Election
$112.1M vol.
30%
Marine Le Pen28%
Édouard Philippe
Fed Decision in September?
$2.4M vol.
53%
25 bps increase42%
No change
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$21.8M vol.
10%
Yes91%
No
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
$666.8K vol.
44%
August 3121%
July 31
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
$561K vol.
4%
Yes96%
No
Elon Musk # tweets July 14 - July 21, 2026?
$277.1K vol.
18%
180-19916%
200-219
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
$6.3M vol.
53%
August 3125%
July 31
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
$62.6M vol.
8%
December 314%
September 30
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
$26.6M vol.
42%
Gadi Eizenkot37%
Benjamin Netanyahu
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
$17.2M vol.
20%
June 30, 202710%
December 31, 2026
Clacton by-election Winner
$1.9M vol.
95%
Nigel Farage6%
Count Binface
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
$5M vol.
57%
Yes44%
No
Iran leadership change by...?
$19.6M vol.
29%
June 30, 202725%
December 31
