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Politics
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Fed Decision in July?
$91.1M vol.
74%
No change27%
25 bps increase
Presidential Election Winner 2028
$670.3M vol.
20%
JD Vance13%
Marco Rubio
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$1.2B vol.
20%
Gavin Newsom16%
Jon Ossoff
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$47M vol.
31%
Yes70%
No
Iran leader end of 2026?
$34.6M vol.
73%
Mojtaba Khamenei9%
No Head of State
Elon Musk # tweets July 21 - July 28, 2026?
$1.4M vol.
22%
280-29921%
260-279
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
$20.3M vol.
<1%
Yes100%
No
Elon Musk # tweets July 23 - July 25, 2026?
$579.5K vol.
77%
90-11414%
115-139
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$678.4M vol.
43%
J.D. Vance28%
Marco Rubio
Iran leadership change by...?
$20.5M vol.
40%
June 30, 202728%
December 31
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
$18.4M vol.
17%
June 30, 20279%
December 31, 2026
Elon Musk # tweets July 24 - July 31, 2026?
$433.3K vol.
15%
220-23914%
200-219
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
$2.6M vol.
33%
Yes68%
No
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
$2M vol.
11%
Yes90%
No
Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
$8.1M vol.
19%
August 158%
July 31
Next French Presidential Election
$115.8M vol.
31%
Marine Le Pen27%
Édouard Philippe
Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner
$1.2M vol.
64%
Abdul El-Sayed37%
Haley Stevens
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
$865.5K vol.
44%
August 3131%
August 15
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$23M vol.
10%
Yes91%
No
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
$781K vol.
46%
Yes55%
No
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
$15.9M vol.
57%
United Russia (ER)33%
New People (NL)
Elon Musk # tweets July 25 - July 27, 2026?
$72.9K vol.
45%
40-6426%
65-89
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
$29.1M vol.
49%
Gadi Eizenkot37%
Benjamin Netanyahu
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
$7.2M vol.
39%
August 3155%
August 15
