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Política
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Fed Decision in September?
$75.8M vol.
59%
25 bps increase40%
No change
Presidential Election Winner 2028
$697M vol.
25%
JD Vance12%
Jon Ossoff
Next French Presidential Election
$124.5M vol.
33%
Marine Le Pen27%
Édouard Philippe
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$693.6M vol.
52%
J.D. Vance18%
Marco Rubio
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$1.2B vol.
20%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
Jon Ossoff
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
$24M vol.
63%
December 3141%
October 31
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
$24.2M vol.
71%
United Russia (ER)24%
New People (NL)
Elon Musk # tweets August 28 - September 4, 2026?
$854.3K vol.
24%
180-19927%
200-219
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$63.6M vol.
16%
Yes85%
No
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$10.9M vol.
50%
Democrats Sweep36%
R Senate, D House
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
$7.3M vol.
3%
Yes97%
No
Israel closes its airspace by...?
$27.7M vol.
7%
September 30<1%
June 11
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
$34.3M vol.
50%
Gadi Eizenkot30%
Benjamin Netanyahu
Elon Musk # tweets August 31 - September 2, 2026?
$161.4K vol.
60%
40-6431%
65-89
Trump out as President before 2027?
$11.3M vol.
6%
Yes95%
No
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
$11.9M vol.
16%
December 3110%
October 31
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
$10.6M vol.
60%
March 31, 202742%
December 31, 2026
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
$11.5M vol.
14%
Yes87%
No
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
$22.3M vol.
16%
June 30, 20277%
December 31, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
$10.1M vol.
29%
Yes72%
No
Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
$348.5K vol.
<1%
Yes99%
No
Iran leadership change by...?
$24.4M vol.
26%
June 30, 202716%
December 31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
$6.3M vol.
52%
June 30, 202739%
March 31, 2027
Elon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
$158K vol.
13%
200-21922%
180-199
