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Política
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Fed Decision in September?
$27.8M vol.
62%
No change37%
25 bps increaseUS announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
$12.5M vol.
84%
December 3174%
October 31Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?
$18.2M vol.
4%
August 31<1%
August 15Elon Musk # tweets August 7 - August 14, 2026?
$1.4M vol.
46%
140-15932%
160-179Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
$6.8M vol.
17%
Yes84%
NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
$3M vol.
16%
Yes85%
NoPresidential Election Winner 2028
$680.6M vol.
22%
JD Vance12%
Marco RubioElon Musk # tweets August 10 - August 12, 2026?
$385.4K vol.
86%
<4015%
40-64Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$58.3M vol.
19%
Yes82%
NoDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$1.2B vol.
18%
Gavin Newsom16%
Jon OssoffStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
$7.8M vol.
48%
Yes53%
NoRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
$687M vol.
44%
J.D. Vance23%
Marco RubioWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
$18.9M vol.
68%
United Russia (ER)25%
New People (NL)Clacton by-election Winner
$4.5M vol.
99%
Nigel Farage1%
Count BinfaceWho will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
$31.8M vol.
52%
Gadi Eizenkot32%
Benjamin NetanyahuTrump out as President by August 31?
$1.2M vol.
<1%
Yes100%
NoNext French Presidential Election
$118.7M vol.
32%
Marine Le Pen26%
Édouard PhilippeElon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026?
$345.9K vol.
21%
180-19920%
160-179Putin out as President of Russia by...?
$20.2M vol.
12%
June 30, 20278%
December 31, 2026US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
$1.3M vol.
39%
Yes62%
NoElon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026?
$114.7K vol.
19%
180-19919%
160-179Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory (Small Brackets)
$96K vol.
100%
Crowley <1%1%
Crowley 1–2%Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
$4M vol.
54%
No Meeting by September 3016%
SwitzerlandLos Angeles Mayoral Election
$13.2M vol.
61%
Karen Bass38%
Nithya Raman