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Política
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Fed Decision in July?
$83.9M vol.
78%
No change22%
25 bps increasePresidential Election Winner 2028
$668.3M vol.
20%
JD Vance14%
Marco RubioElon Musk # tweets July 17 - July 24, 2026?
$2M vol.
34%
180-19930%
200-219Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$1.2B vol.
20%
Gavin Newsom15%
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
$19.4M vol.
1%
Yes99%
NoElon Musk # tweets July 21 - July 28, 2026?
$766.5K vol.
17%
200-21917%
220-239Iran leader end of 2026?
$33.4M vol.
73%
Mojtaba Khamenei8%
No Head of StateStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
$1.7M vol.
15%
Yes86%
NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$46.1M vol.
29%
Yes72%
NoIran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
$7.8M vol.
18%
August 1511%
July 31Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
$2.2M vol.
38%
Yes64%
NoWho will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
$28.9M vol.
51%
Gadi Eizenkot37%
Benjamin NetanyahuRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
$677.6M vol.
43%
J.D. Vance28%
Marco RubioTrump out as President by July 31?
$1.9M vol.
<1%
Yes100%
NoNext French Presidential Election
$115.5M vol.
31%
Marine Le Pen27%
Édouard PhilippeIran leadership change by...?
$20.2M vol.
39%
June 30, 202726%
December 31Putin out as President of Russia by...?
$18.1M vol.
16%
June 30, 20279%
December 31, 2026Elon Musk # tweets July 24 - July 31, 2026?
$200.2K vol.
18%
160-17917%
180-199Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
$5.6M vol.
52%
Yes49%
NoWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$22.8M vol.
11%
Yes90%
NoIran Nuke before 2027?
$1.1M vol.
6%
Yes95%
NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
$63.4M vol.
6%
December 313%
September 30Venezuela leader end of 2026?
$94M vol.
81%
Nicolás Maduro12%
Delcy RodríguezFed Decision in September?
$4M vol.
50%
25 bps increase46%
No change