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Política
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US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
$293.2M vol.
74%
December 3168%
October 31Fed Decision in June?
$86M vol.
99%
No change<1%
25 bps increaseWill Trump restart Project Freedom by...?
$6.2M vol.
100%
June 30<1%
May 15Elon Musk # tweets June 5 - June 12, 2026?
$5.6M vol.
72%
220-23921%
200-219Presidential Election Winner 2028
$625.2M vol.
16%
Marco Rubio15%
JD VanceDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$1.1B vol.
23%
Gavin Newsom9%
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$36.4M vol.
19%
Yes82%
NoWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
$52.8M vol.
1%
Yes99%
NoNext French Presidential Election
$97.2M vol.
28%
Jordan Bardella18%
Édouard PhilippeUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
$7.6M vol.
41%
Yes60%
NoRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
$656.1M vol.
34%
J.D. Vance23%
Marco RubioTrump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?
$31.3M vol.
78%
July 3162%
June 30California Governor Election Winner
$38.7M vol.
88%
Xavier Becerra8%
Steve HiltonMakerfield by-election Winner
$3.7M vol.
79%
Andy Burnham21%
Robert KenyonStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
$4M vol.
45%
Yes56%
NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
$52.6M vol.
10%
December 315%
September 30Elon Musk # tweets June 9 - June 16, 2026?
$1.8M vol.
26%
200-21924%
220-239Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
$8.6M vol.
37%
Switzerland33%
No Meeting by June 30What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?
$1.3M vol.
50%
Oil Sanction Relief49%
Unfreeze Iranian AssetsBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
$4.5M vol.
24%
September 306%
June 30Elon Musk # tweets June 11 - June 13, 2026?
$326.1K vol.
46%
65-8944%
40-64Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
$14.6M vol.
33%
December 3115%
July 31Trump out as President by June 30?
$6.9M vol.
<1%
Yes99%
NoIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
$2.3M vol.
23%
Yes79%
No