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Fed Decision in July?
$87.8M vol.
75%
No change24%
25 bps increasePresidential Election Winner 2028
$669.5M vol.
20%
JD Vance14%
Marco RubioElon Musk # tweets July 17 - July 24, 2026?
$2.6M vol.
66%
180-19924%
200-219Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$1.2B vol.
20%
Gavin Newsom15%
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezIran leader end of 2026?
$34.1M vol.
73%
Mojtaba Khamenei8%
No Head of StateStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
$19.9M vol.
1%
Yes99%
NoTrump out as President by July 31?
$2.2M vol.
<1%
Yes100%
NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$46.4M vol.
30%
Yes71%
NoRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
$678.1M vol.
43%
J.D. Vance28%
Marco RubioFed Decision in September?
$4.2M vol.
52%
25 bps increase42%
No changeMitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
$681.4K vol.
45%
Yes56%
NoNext French Presidential Election
$115.7M vol.
31%
Marine Le Pen27%
Édouard PhilippeElon Musk # tweets July 21 - July 28, 2026?
$997.8K vol.
20%
200-21920%
180-199Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
$1.8M vol.
12%
Yes89%
NoWill the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
$1M vol.
4%
Yes96%
NoClarity Act signed into law in 2026?
$2.4M vol.
37%
Yes64%
NoIran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
$7.9M vol.
20%
August 1510%
July 31Iran leadership change by...?
$20.3M vol.
40%
June 30, 202728%
December 31Putin out as President of Russia by...?
$18.2M vol.
17%
June 30, 20279%
December 31, 2026Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$22.9M vol.
11%
Yes90%
NoWho will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
$29M vol.
49%
Gadi Eizenkot38%
Benjamin NetanyahuUS announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
$757.4K vol.
46%
August 3130%
August 15What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
$65.3K vol.
76%
CDC / WHO100%
Illegal / IllegalsWill Trump meet with Netanyahu by...?
$318.8K vol.
61%
August 3131%
July 31