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Business
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How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$34.1M vol.
77%
0 (0 bps)15%
1 (25 bps)
Largest Company end of June?
$21.7M vol.
93%
NVIDIA4%
Alphabet
SpaceX IPO: First Day Share Price Hits __?
$95.4K vol.
99%
↑$15061%
↑$200
2nd largest company end of June?
$464.9K vol.
60%
Alphabet38%
Apple
In which month will SpaceX IPO?
$536K vol.
100%
June<1%
July
Largest Company end of December 2026?
$3.3M vol.
68%
NVIDIA16%
Alphabet
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
$598.7K vol.
98%
Yes4%
No
OpenAI IPO by...?
$2M vol.
46%
December 31, 202611%
September 30, 2026
IPOs before 2027?
$6.5M vol.
100%
SpaceX84%
Anthropic
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
$157.4K vol.
78%
Anthropic24%
OpenAI
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
$3.5M vol.
<1%
Yes100%
No
SpaceX Closing Market Cap End of IPO Month
$7.3K vol.
43%
$2.0T-$2.5T18%
$1.5T-$2.0T
Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$342.2K vol.
64%
45%+36%
50%+
US recession by end of 2026?
$1.5M vol.
19%
Yes82%
No
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$2.3M vol.
80%
SpaceX19%
Anthropic
Which banks will fail by June 30?
$533.5K vol.
3%
BMO2%
Deutsche Bank
How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by June 30?
$248.8K vol.
28%
85%7%
90%
AI bubble burst by...?
$2.8M vol.
23%
December 31, 2026<1%
December 31, 2025
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
$165.1K vol.
9%
Yes92%
No
Richest person on December 31, 2026?
$1.8M vol.
94%
Elon Musk2%
Jensen Huang
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
$17.9M vol.
89%
Cursor85%
MGM Resorts
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
$91.7K vol.
100%
SpaceX<1%
OpenAI
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
$1.6M vol.
4%
OpenAI1%
DeepSeek
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
$308K vol.
35%
Earbuds/Headphones28%
Clip-on device for clothing
