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Fed Decision in July?
$88M vol.
74%
No change25%
25 bps increasePresidential Election Winner 2028
$669.5M vol.
20%
JD Vance14%
Marco RubioElon Musk # tweets July 17 - July 24, 2026?
$2.8M vol.
55%
200-21922%
180-199Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$1.2B vol.
20%
Gavin Newsom15%
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezIran leader end of 2026?
$34.2M vol.
72%
Mojtaba Khamenei8%
No Head of StateStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
$19.9M vol.
1%
Yes99%
NoTrump out as President by July 31?
$2.2M vol.
<1%
Yes100%
NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$46.4M vol.
31%
Yes70%
NoFed Decision in September?
$4.2M vol.
52%
25 bps increase42%
No changeElon Musk # tweets July 21 - July 28, 2026?
$1M vol.
17%
220-23916%
240-259Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$678.1M vol.
43%
J.D. Vance28%
Marco RubioMitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
$699.6K vol.
40%
Yes61%
NoNext French Presidential Election
$115.7M vol.
32%
Marine Le Pen27%
Édouard PhilippeStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
$1.9M vol.
11%
Yes90%
NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
$5.8M vol.
53%
Yes48%
NoClarity Act signed into law in 2026?
$2.4M vol.
33%
Yes69%
NoWill the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
$1M vol.
4%
Yes96%
NoIran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
$8M vol.
20%
August 1510%
July 31Iran leadership change by...?
$20.3M vol.
41%
June 30, 202728%
December 31Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$22.9M vol.
11%
Yes90%
NoElon Musk # tweets July 23 - July 25, 2026?
$186.7K vol.
48%
65-8924%
90-114Putin out as President of Russia by...?
$18.2M vol.
17%
June 30, 20279%
December 31, 2026US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
$770.7K vol.
47%
August 3130%
August 15Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by...?
$332.4K vol.
56%
August 3129%
July 31