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Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
$66.8M vol.
3%
December 31<1%
September 30
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
$114.8K vol.
92%
December 31, 202791%
December 31, 2026
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
$45.5K vol.
94%
December 31, 202693%
December 31, 2027
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
$37.8K vol.
59%
Hodge Conjecture27%
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
$309.2K vol.
32%
December 31, 202818%
December 31, 2027
Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?
$20.3K vol.
70%
December 31, 202734%
December 31, 2026
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?
$966.4K vol.
84%
December 31, 202782%
June 30, 2027
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
$3.4M vol.
77%
122%
2
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?
$7.5K vol.
52%
December 31, 202819%
December 31, 2027
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
$487K vol.
99%
October 3190%
September 30
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
$5.7K vol.
44%
122%
2
New pandemic in 2026?
$1M vol.
7%
Yes94%
No
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$5.9M vol.
58%
Anthropic40%
SpaceX
Precipitation in Seoul in September?
$21.9K vol.
76%
<75mm16%
100-125mm
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?
$2.2K vol.
64%
OpenAI39%
Anthropic
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
$7.8M vol.
100%
↑3.5k96%
↑4k
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?
$7K vol.
25%
December 31, 202611%
October 31, 2026
Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?
$7.4K vol.
100%
3200+99%
3400+
How many SpaceX launches in September 2026?
$2.6K vol.
96%
<1213%
12
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
$19.1K vol.
3%
Yes98%
No
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
$102.6K vol.
31%
Yes77%
No
Precipitation in Hong Kong in September?
$13.7K vol.
76%
<275mm14%
275-300mm
Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?
$487 vol.
95%
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer90%
Hodge Conjecture
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$816.2K vol.
2%
Yes99%
No
