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Fed Rates
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Fed Decision in December?
$24.8M vol.
86%
25 bps increase11%
50+ bps increaseFed Decision in January?
$1.9M vol.
51%
No change48%
25 bps increaseAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
$1.9M vol.
97%
Yes4%
NoFed decisions (Sep–Dec)
$701.5K vol.
96%
Hike–Pause–Hike4%
Hike–Pause–PauseHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$55.7M vol.
98%
0 (0 bps)<1%
1 (25 bps)Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
$217.6K vol.
55%
Pause-Hike-Pause45%
Pause-Hike-HikeFed Decision in March?
$162.2K vol.
55%
25 bps increase42%
No changeHow low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$488.8K vol.
55%
Below 4.55%30%
Below 4.50%What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$7.1M vol.
86%
4.25%12%
≥ 4.5%How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$534.6K vol.
65%
Below 4.8%36%
Below 4.7%How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$1.1M vol.
21%
5.3%14%
5.4%How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$283.1K vol.
81%
Below 5.25%75%
Below 5.20%What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.9M vol.
91%
↑ 4.25%13%
↑ 4.5%Fed rate cut by...?
$3.8M vol.
84%
July 2027 Meeting72%
April 2027 MeetingHow high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$268.6K vol.
72%
4.90%44%
5.00%How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in November?
$10.5K vol.
24%
Below 4.82%23%
Below 4.79%How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
$54.6K vol.
64%
020%
1Fed Decision in April?
$60.4K vol.
66%
No change18%
25 bps increaseHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$296K vol.
73%
5.40%54%
5.50%How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in November?
$5.6K vol.
32%
Below 5.20%20%
Below 5.17%How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in November?
$5.6K vol.
75%
4.76%60%
4.80%How low will 2-year Treasury yield get in November?
$6.6K vol.
9%
Below 4.22%7%
Below 4.38%How low will 2-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$40.9K vol.
68%
Below 4.40%19%
Below 4.30%How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in November?
$4.3K vol.
30%
Below 4.59%19%
Below 4.56%