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Fed Rates
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Fed Decision in December?
$17.6M vol.
80%
25 bps increase19%
No changeAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
$1.6M vol.
82%
Yes19%
NoHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$55.6M vol.
98%
0 (0 bps)<1%
2 (50 bps)Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
$185.9K vol.
78%
Pause-Hike-Pause11%
Pause-Pause-PauseFed decisions (Sep–Dec)
$645.8K vol.
82%
Hike–Pause–Hike18%
Hike–Pause–PauseFed Decision in January?
$1.3M vol.
79%
No change18%
25 bps increaseFed Decision in April?
$56.6K vol.
66%
No change20%
25 bps increaseFed rate cut by...?
$3.8M vol.
84%
July 2027 Meeting74%
April 2027 MeetingHow low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$477K vol.
78%
Below 4.55%74%
Below 4.50%Fed Decision in March?
$131.4K vol.
54%
No change35%
25 bps increaseHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$276.1K vol.
89%
Below 5.25%77%
Below 5.20%How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$263K vol.
77%
4.90%40%
5.00%What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$7.1M vol.
80%
4.25%18%
4.0%How low will 2-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$39K vol.
68%
Below 4.40%68%
Below 4.30%How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$293.1K vol.
58%
5.40%50%
5.50%How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in November?
$5.7K vol.
71%
Below 4.82%58%
Below 4.79%How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in November?
$5.9K vol.
29%
5.06%22%
5.17%How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in November?
$3.4K vol.
88%
4.72%74%
4.76%How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in November?
$2.9K vol.
87%
Below 4.59%93%
Below 4.56%How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?
$26.9K vol.
63%
020%
1How low will 2-year Treasury yield get in November?
$4.7K vol.
85%
Below 4.44%45%
Below 4.38%How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in November?
$3.3K vol.
59%
Below 5.17%61%
Below 5.20%How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$524.9K vol.
72%
Below 4.8%65%
Below 4.7%How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in November?
$3.4K vol.
92%
4.83%83%
4.87%