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Fed Rates
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Fed Decision in June?
$89.2M vol.
99%
No change<1%
25 bps decreaseHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$34.2M vol.
77%
0 (0 bps)16%
1 (25 bps)Fed Decision in July?
$9.5M vol.
93%
No change5%
25 bps increaseFed rate hike in 2026?
$1.7M vol.
39%
Yes62%
NoFed Decision in September?
$272.7K vol.
74%
No change17%
25 bps increaseFed decisions (Mar-Jun)
$1.7M vol.
99%
Pause–Pause–Pause<1%
Pause–Pause–CutWhat will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$6.5M vol.
34%
4.0%34%
3.75%Fed rate cut by...?
$2.1M vol.
21%
December Meeting17%
October MeetingFed rate hike by...?
$164K vol.
41%
October Meeting31%
September MeetingHow many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
$33K vol.
68%
031%
1What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.5M vol.
23%
↓ 3.25%25%
↑ 4.25%Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
$2.6K vol.
86%
Pause–Pause–Pause25%
OtherJerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
$277.6K vol.
<1%
Yes100%
NoHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$237.1K vol.
44%
4.8%17%
5.0%Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)
$54.3K vol.
94%
Pause–Pause–Pause8%
OtherFed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$105.5K vol.
10%
Yes93%
NoJerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
$417.9K vol.
41%
December 31<1%
May 30Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?
$4K vol.
4%
Yes98%
NoWill Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
$16.4K vol.
25%
December 316%
June 30How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$216.3K vol.
50%
3.9%45%
3.8%