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Fed Rates
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Fed Decision in October?
$10.1M vol.
53%
25 bps increase47%
No changeFed Decision in December?
$1.2M vol.
68%
25 bps increase28%
No changeHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$53.2M vol.
97%
0 (0 bps)1%
1 (25 bps)Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
$813.7K vol.
100%
Other<1%
Pause–Pause–PauseAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
$122.3K vol.
87%
Yes14%
NoWhat will be the next Fed rate change?
$27.4K vol.
100%
Hike<1%
CutHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$300K vol.
53%
Below 4.7%42%
Below 4.6%Fed Decision in January?
$110.3K vol.
57%
No change32%
25 bps increaseHow many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
$19.5K vol.
33%
031%
1Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
$103.2K vol.
38%
Hike–Pause–Hike29%
Hike–Hike–HikeHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
$49.4K vol.
40%
Below 5.24%15%
Below 5.21%How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$50.6K vol.
73%
5.40%68%
5.45%How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?
$15.9K vol.
34%
028%
3How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
$63.2K vol.
47%
5.05%13%
5.10%How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$537.8K vol.
71%
5.1%38%
5.2%How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
$63.7K vol.
8%
Below 4.76%4%
Below 4.73%Fed rate cut by...?
$3.6M vol.
76%
July 2027 Meeting68%
June 2027 MeetingHow many dissent at the October Fed meeting?
$6.9K vol.
47%
021%
1How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$16.6K vol.
57%
Below 5.15%59%
Below 5.20%How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?
$40.3K vol.
29%
5.39%16%
5.42%What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.8M vol.
85%
↑ 4.25%31%
↑ 4.5%How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$26.9K vol.
69%
4.95%97%
4.90%How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
$22.3K vol.
66%
4.90%100%
4.58%What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$6.8M vol.
54%
4.25%31%
≥ 4.5%