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Fed Rates
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Fed Decision in September?
$29.8M vol.
67%
No change33%
25 bps increaseFed rate hike in 2026?
$7.3M vol.
55%
Yes46%
NoHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$47.9M vol.
86%
0 (0 bps)9%
1 (25 bps)Fed rate hike by...?
$2.1M vol.
46%
October Meeting32%
September MeetingFed Decision in October?
$562.8K vol.
68%
No change24%
25 bps increaseFed Decision in January?
$26.8K vol.
62%
No change22%
25 bps increaseFed decisions (Jun-Sep)
$719.3K vol.
68%
Pause–Pause–Pause35%
OtherFed decisions (Jul–Oct)
$674K vol.
49%
Pause–Pause–Pause47%
OtherFed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$135.2K vol.
9%
Yes92%
NoFed Decision in December?
$97.3K vol.
59%
No change31%
25 bps increaseWhat will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$6.7M vol.
50%
3.75%26%
4.0%What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.7M vol.
24%
↑ 4.25%10%
↓ 3.25%How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$283.8K vol.
70%
4.8%28%
5.0%How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?
$8.1K vol.
30%
322%
1How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$224.8K vol.
19%
3.9%8%
3.6%How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
$6.6K vol.
25%
226%
3Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?
$4.5K vol.
8%
December 316%
November 30Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
$434.3K vol.
22%
December 31<1%
May 30What will be the next Fed rate change?
$1.8K vol.
65%
Hike40%
CutWill Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
$26.3K vol.
15%
December 3125%
August 31Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?
$5.5K vol.
3%
Yes99%
NoJerome Powell federally charged by...?
$318.4K vol.
3%
December 31, 2026<1%
June 30, 2026