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How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$34.2M vol.
77%
0 (0 bps)16%
1 (25 bps)Largest Company end of June?
$21.7M vol.
94%
NVIDIA4%
AlphabetElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
$692.6K vol.
100%
Yes<1%
NoLargest Company end of December 2026?
$3.3M vol.
67%
NVIDIA15%
Alphabet2nd largest company end of June?
$475.5K vol.
64%
Alphabet32%
AppleSpaceX Closing Market Cap End of IPO Month
$24K vol.
40%
$2.0T-$2.5T40%
$1.5T-$2.0TOpenAI IPO by...?
$2M vol.
50%
December 31, 202612%
September 30, 2026IPOs before 2027?
$6.5M vol.
84%
Anthropic62%
DiscordWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
$3.5M vol.
<1%
Yes100%
NoClaude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$353.5K vol.
56%
45%+31%
50%+Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
$158.3K vol.
77%
Anthropic25%
OpenAIAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
$83.1K vol.
93%
Yes14%
NoWhich companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
$1.6M vol.
8%
OpenAI1%
xAIGoogle Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$146.3K vol.
100%
40%+100%
60%+Which banks will fail by June 30?
$534.4K vol.
3%
BMO2%
TruistLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$2.3M vol.
80%
SpaceX19%
AnthropicWill MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
$165.1K vol.
9%
Yes92%
NoUS recession by end of 2026?
$1.5M vol.
19%
Yes82%
NoRichest person on December 31, 2026?
$1.8M vol.
95%
Elon Musk2%
Jensen HuangAI bubble burst by...?
$2.8M vol.
22%
December 31, 2026<1%
December 31, 2025How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by June 30?
$249K vol.
28%
85%6%
90%SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
$9.1K vol.
91%
SpaceX15%
OpenAIWill a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
$289.9K vol.
1%
Yes99%
NoWhich companies will be acquired before 2027?
$17.9M vol.
90%
Cursor85%
MGM Resorts