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Fed Decision in September?
$77.8M vol.
60%
25 bps increase41%
No changeDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$1.2B vol.
20%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
Jon OssoffPresidential Election Winner 2028
$698M vol.
25%
JD Vance12%
Jon OssoffWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$64.1M vol.
17%
Yes84%
NoRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
$694.1M vol.
53%
J.D. Vance18%
Marco RubioElon Musk # tweets August 28 - September 4, 2026?
$1.1M vol.
37%
200-21929%
180-199US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
$24.4M vol.
61%
December 3138%
October 31Next French Presidential Election
$124.7M vol.
33%
Marine Le Pen28%
Édouard PhilippeElon Musk # tweets August 31 - September 2, 2026?
$412.6K vol.
88%
40-6414%
65-89Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
$34.5M vol.
52%
Gadi Eizenkot31%
Benjamin NetanyahuStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
$7.4M vol.
3%
Yes97%
NoWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
$24.3M vol.
72%
United Russia (ER)23%
New People (NL)Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
$12M vol.
18%
December 3111%
October 31Elon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
$280.1K vol.
19%
180-19917%
200-219Iran leadership change by...?
$24.5M vol.
26%
June 30, 202716%
December 31Putin out as President of Russia by...?
$22.3M vol.
15%
June 30, 20277%
December 31, 2026Israel closes its airspace by...?
$27.7M vol.
14%
September 30<1%
June 11Next Prime Minister of Sweden
$4.4M vol.
81%
Magdalena Andersson18%
Ulf KristerssonNext round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
$10.7M vol.
59%
March 31, 202740%
December 31, 2026Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$10.9M vol.
51%
Democrats Sweep36%
R Senate, D HouseWill the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
$66.1M vol.
4%
December 31<1%
September 30Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$25.4M vol.
7%
Yes94%
NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
$10.1M vol.
28%
Yes73%
NoIran leader end of 2026?
$39M vol.
83%
Mojtaba Khamenei5%
No Head of State