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Fed Decision in July?
$35M vol.
91%
No change9%
25 bps increase
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
$14.4M vol.
12%
Yes89%
No
Elon Musk # tweets June 26 - July 3, 2026?
$3.9M vol.
73%
180-19925%
200-219
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
$24.8M vol.
41%
Benjamin Netanyahu35%
Gadi Eizenkot
Presidential Election Winner 2028
$644.8M vol.
21%
JD Vance16%
Marco Rubio
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
$6.1M vol.
8%
Yes93%
No
Elon Musk # tweets June 30 - July 7, 2026?
$1.1M vol.
23%
160-17921%
180-199
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
$11.6M vol.
26%
Yes75%
No
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$1.2B vol.
21%
Gavin Newsom11%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
$2.6M vol.
63%
July 3117%
July 17
Next French Presidential Election
$106.8M vol.
27%
Jordan Bardella21%
Édouard Philippe
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$667.6M vol.
39%
J.D. Vance25%
Marco Rubio
Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?
$15.7M vol.
99%
Andy Burnham<1%
Al Carns
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
$13.9M vol.
57%
United Russia (ER)34%
New People (NL)
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
$3M vol.
57%
Republican Party45%
Democratic Party
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
$907K vol.
<1%
Yes99%
No
Fed Decision in September?
$1.3M vol.
68%
No change25%
25 bps increase
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
$854.6K vol.
58%
June 30, 202732%
December 31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
$3.4M vol.
83%
Yes18%
No
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
$415.3K vol.
5%
Yes96%
No
Elon Musk # tweets July 3 - July 10, 2026?
$386.9K vol.
21%
200-21920%
220-239
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
$92.4M vol.
80%
Nicolás Maduro14%
Delcy Rodríguez
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$21.1M vol.
9%
Yes92%
No
Elon Musk # tweets July 2 - July 4, 2026?
$172.9K vol.
55%
40-6435%
<40
