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Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
$62.6M vol.
8%
December 314%
September 30Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
$642.7K vol.
99%
Hong Wang98%
Jacob TsimermanJuly 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
$8K vol.
64%
1.15–1.19ºC49%
1.20–1.24ºC2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
$19.1K vol.
65%
3rd hottest47%
1st hottestMeasles cases in U.S. by July 31?
$28.6K vol.
97%
230023%
240010.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$723.2K vol.
3%
Yes98%
NoLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$4.7M vol.
87%
SpaceX14%
AnthropicHow many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?
$1K vol.
34%
≤618%
7Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?
$3.8K vol.
18%
<400mm18%
575-600mmMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
$7.7M vol.
85%
↑3k61%
↑3.5kWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
$3M vol.
61%
234%
1New pandemic in 2026?
$892.3K vol.
7%
Yes95%
NoPrecipitation in NYC in July?
$1.8K vol.
44%
4-5"29%
3-4"How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?
$560 vol.
51%
045%
1Precipitation in Seoul in July?
$6K vol.
100%
100mm+3%
90-100mmPrecipitation in London in July?
$2.4K vol.
38%
60-70mm29%
70-80mm1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
$115.3K vol.
2%
Yes98%
NoMajor volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
$118.5K vol.
6%
Yes95%
NoHow many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
$1.3M vol.
46%
14–1625%
11–139.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$247.9K vol.
8%
Yes93%
NoHow many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?
$75.9K vol.
87%
1250+7%
1200–1249Human moon landing in 2026?
$1.9M vol.
3%
Yes97%
NoWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
$145.4K vol.
90%
Yes11%
NoU.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
$100.6K vol.
17%
Yes84%
No